Super El Nino explained: why 2026’s is the strongest on record

El Nino is a natural climate pattern that reshapes weather across the world. Here is why the 2026 event is making history.
El Nino forms when warm surface water piles up in the central and eastern Pacific, weakening trade winds in a feedback loop that pushes even more warm water east. Its strength is measured by the Nino 3.4 index, tracking how much warmer the water is than average.
On September 21, the anomaly reached 3.08 degrees Celsius above the 1991 to 2020 average, beating the 2015 record of 3.02 degrees. Sea surface temperatures in the key region hit 85.73 degrees Fahrenheit on September 29.
Strong El Ninos typically peak in winter, and every strong one on record has kept strengthening after mid-September. This one emerged in June and is still intensifying.
The effects reach everywhere: droughts, floods, heatwaves and severe storms. In India, the monsoon has already run below average. The peak is still to come.
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